russian influence operations

Ben Dubow on Detecting and Countering Malign Influence Operations. by Cliff Kincaid on June 23, 2014. Media reports, including dramatic documentaries and breathless biopics on the ten Russian “illegals” arrested … Russia’s relations with key countries and regions. Russian propaganda arms and security forces are propping up the country's embattled leader in exchange for decisive influence in the region. This book examines Russian influence operations globally, in Europe, and in Russia’s neighboring countries, and provides a comprehensive overview of the latest technologies and forms of strategic communication employed in hybrid warfare. Russian Influence Operations Target Americans Another essential step to countering information warfare is for governments targeted by Russian influence operations to develop a metric of damage that acknowledges a range of objectives, including influencing elections. On matters important for Kremlin. Russian influence operations are more sophisticated than seen before and now better designed to target the audience in different countries. 14 The Kremlin sees information as a new type of weapon … Dr Dimitar Bechev is a Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council, Washington DC. Russian cyber operations, now well known for their role in the 2016 U.S. presidential election, have also been used to exert influence to achieve policy objectives in Europe. Russia can select from a very large toolbox when engaging in influence operations.The different tools are all ultimately used in attempts to influence personal views and/or public opinion. Russia’s many activities have put the West on the defensive. Dr Dimitar Bechev is a Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council, Washington DC. Through the Address, Poland also calls for enhancement of NATO-EU cooperatio… disinformation operations were at the center of Russia’s interference in the 2016 U.S. presidential election. In the context of Russian operations in Ukraine, we are interested today in two kinds of activities. Russia's operations in Crimea benefited from highly favorable circumstances — political, historical, geographical, and military — that limit their generalizability. AUGUST 13, 2021 — A new study by Douglas Wilbur, a visiting scholar in the UTSA Department of Communication, examines the claims made by the fact-checking website Prop or Not that Russian propaganda targets the American public. During the 2016 U.S. presidential election campaign, Kilimnik provided the Russian Intelligence Services with sensitive information on polling and campaign strategy. This chapter is part of a volume due out with Springer in early 2021, titled The Russian Federation in Global Information Warfare: Influence Operations in Europe and Its Near Abroad, edited by Vladimir Sazonov of the University of Tartu and Holger Mölder, Archil Chochia and Tanel Kerikmäe of the Tallinn University of Technology. Ben Dubow on Detecting and Countering Malign Influence Operations. Independent numbers are hard to come by. The Association for Free Research and International Cooperation (AFRIC), a front company for Yevgeniy Prigozhin's influence operations in Africa. RealClearDefense. to influence local populations—including information operations, cyber operations and the use of proxies, economic influence, clandestine operations, and political influence. WikiLeaks’ and Russian media operations continued to influence public debate in Egypt after Mubarak stepped down. The report describes in stunning detail the inner workings of the full Russian operation. As frequent targets, how can the United States and its European allies defend themselves? Senator McCain called for a special select committee of the U.S. Senate to investigate Russian meddling in the election, and called election meddling an "act of war". Intelligence agencies have found that Russia used influence operations to interfere with the 2016 presidential election in favor of Trump’s campaign and conducted operations in Trump’s favor in 2020. Terrorism. While Russia has brought this issue into the mainstream political conversation, concerns over the ability of foreign nations—particularly autocracies—to exploit the openness of America’s … Amid this backdrop, a small and informal group gathered on May 2, 2019 in Washington, DC. This document’s conclusions are Countering Russia's Malign and Subversive Information Efforts. Influence operations are selected from a very large toolbox spanning all three domains – the physical, the digital and the cognitive. Influence operations, which seek to leverage media and propaganda efforts as well as business and political ties to attain national goals are, if not always aboveboard, surely short of armed conflict. 2016 US presidential election and draws on our understanding of previous Russian influence operations. disinformation operations were at the center of Russia’s interference in the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Modern Russian intelligence operations, cyber intrusions and influence operations have found both potency in the proliferation of social media technologies and a receptive target in the existing political and social divisions in the United States. On May 7, 2020, the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) hosted a virtual event coinciding with the release of a new CNAS report, Dangerous Synergies: Countering Chinese and Russian Digital Influence Operations, by Daniel Kliman, Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Kristine Lee, Joshua Fitt, and Carisa Nietsche. Russia’s approach to information warfare is holistic, and includes both cyber strikes and information operations as cohesive elements that work in tandem to achieve Russian foreign policy goals. Senate’s Outside Russia Investigators Tied To Russian Bot ‘False Flag’. Russia was conducting political influence operations supported by intelligence activities. Russia uses messaging and intimidation in its efforts to influence multiple actors and countries. – to offer foreign government officials preferential deals in return for influence. This is the textbook for a graduate course in cyber that isn't being taught yet. The Ukraine Crisis Media Center’s Hybrid Warfare Analytical Group (HWAG) has compiled a report on major operations of Russian information influence in Ukraine in the first half of 2021.. Prigozhin is a Russian financier of the Internet Research Agency (IRA), the Russian troll farm that OFAC previously designated for interfering in the 2016 presidential election. The report then analyzes U.S.-Russia relations, including U.S. policy during the current and prior Administrations and recent congressional actions. As of January , when the Turkstream pipeline across the Black Sea began operations, Turkey stopped receiving Russian gas through the Trans-Balkan Pipeline from Ukraine, which it had done since the mids. Russian Influence Operations on Twitter. The former Soviet Union used propaganda at home to strengthen domestic views of the state and information operations abroad to foster unrest among its adversaries and create favorable conditions on the battlefield. The term ‘influence operation’ is, after all, used rather vaguely by Russian theorists themselves. As Kevin McCauley noted in his book, Russian Influence Campaigns against the West, the Soviets developed what they believed was an objective, scientific framework for evaluating information operations: reflexive control theory. Researcher shows how Russian influence can occur in alternative U.S. media. Old Influence Operations Playbook, New Media Tools. Technology-enabled influence operations, including disinformation, will likely figure prominently in adversary efforts to impede U.S. crisis response and alliance management in high-risk, high-impact scenarios under a nuclear shadow. These recent Russian efforts reflect a long history of influence operations. Finding UK-related Tweets is not an easy task. On 24 November 2019, WikiLeaks posted an email, purportedly from a whistleblower on the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) team assigned to investigate the chemical weapons attack on the Syrian city of Douma. The campaign involved three distinct elements:[4] 1. Technology-enabled influence operations, including disinformation, will likely figure prominently in adversary efforts to impede U.S. crisis response and alliance management in high-risk, high-impact scenarios under a nuclear shadow. Russia’s global strategy for reasserting itself as a geopolitical superpower has led to an increased presence in Africa, where it has broadened efforts to shape the continent’s politics and pursue new economic opportunities to allay the effects of sanctions.While the presence of Russian military instructors and paramilitary groups in Libya and the Central African Republic … One day soon the leading schools in the West will be scrambling to teach this to intelligence officers, journalists, and political consultants. For Norway, the challenge is Russia’s attempts to fuel disagreements people in the north have with decisions taken in Oslo. Russia’s preeminent goals in the Balkans have been to refine their disinformation tactics and erode Western influence in the region. Ben Dubow is CTO and founder of Omelas, a firm that provides data and analysis on how nations manipulate the web to achieve their geopolitical goals. The aim of these influence operations is “primarily to denigrate Vice President Biden and what the Russians see as kind of an anti-Russian establishment," he said. Russian Influence Operations in Washington. This report is a declassified version of a highly classified assessment. Kremlin Watch is a strategic program of the European Values Center for Security Policy which aims to expose and confront instruments of Russian influence and disinformation operations focused against Western democracies. Countering Russia’s influence operations in the Balkans. Foreign and Defense Policy Europe and Eurasia. – to offer foreign government officials preferential deals in return for influence. He found evidence that popular sites such … To discuss these questions and gauge the impact of Russian influence operations in the Western Balkans, The Henry Jackson Society is holding a panel discussion with Dr Dimitar Bechev, Dr Mira MiloÅ¡ević-Juaristi and Professor Vesko Garčević. This chapter investigates the evolution of Russian hybrid means and the ends to which they are applied. Consistent with 2016 and 2018, however, is that Russia continues to pose the greatest threat to the 2020 U.S. presidential elections, based on past success in conducting phishing and cyberattack operations, a relentless persisten… French and Russian Influence Operations Go Head to Head Targeting Audiences in Africa On December 15, Facebook announced that it had taken down three separate networks that it had discovered for “coordinated inauthentic … He has a background in research on Russian and Chinese online information operations and is a recognized expert, having … Russian Influence Operations Target Americans. Still, the example of Turkey illustrates the limits of natural gas as a lever of influence for Russia. by Cliff Kincaid on September 23, 2014. While bearing many similarities to influence operations, and often using many of the same techniques, Russia’s destabilization operations aim not just to influence, but also to stoke or amplify divisions and disorder among Russia’s adversaries. This book examines Russian influence operations globally, in Europe, and in Russia’s neighboring countries, and provides a comprehensive overview of the latest technologies and forms of strategic communication employed in hybrid warfare. Through the Address, Poland also calls for enhancement of NATO-EU cooperation on the field of countering disinformation and influence operations and increasing cybersecurity. Jabbed in the Back: Mapping Russian and Chinese Information Operations During COVID-19 Amplifiers: How Pro-Kremlin Narratives Spread in French-Speaking Facebook The GLOBSEC Vulnerability Index: Evaluating susceptibility to foreign malign influence in 8 Central European & Western Balkan countries Konstantin Kilimnik (Kilimnik) is a Russian and Ukrainian political consultant and known Russian Intelligence Services agent implementing influence operations on their behalf. China's influence operations offer a glimpse into the future of information warfare. Titled “Overview of the major Russian information influence operations in Ukraine for the first half of 2021,” it breaks down the information operations, identifies key local actors … In Montenegro, Russia’s military intelligence service, or GRU, launched a classic influence operation in 2015 to try to stop the country’s NATO accession process by laundering funds to the leaders of a small pro-Russia political party and by engaging in disinformation operations to cast doubt on the benefits of NATO membership. Unlike some EU countries, condemnation of Russian influence is seen on a bipartisan scale, drawing criticism from the right, left, and center. eventually Russian rule and influence. While the Polish political establishment is highly concerned about Russian influence, certain fringe groups on the far-right have advocated for closer relations with Russia. Russian influence operations include a "toolkit of subversive statecraft" first developed by the Bolsheviks and later the Soviet Union and now "upgraded for the digital age," Mitchell said. What the Mueller report tells us about Russian influence operations. November 15 th, 2021 14:46. Given the growing importance of comprehensive information warfare as a new and rapidly advancing type of … The Russian-led alliance, the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO), has said the force is part of a “peacekeeping” mission to … Russian Influence Operations on Twitter. about Russian influence operations in Europe. He has a background in research on Russian and Chinese online information operations and is a recognized expert, having … The Kremlin has rapidly exploited the recent absence of Western involvement in the Central African Republic. The … The report suggests a grudging respect for the scale and creativity of Russian influence operations. Their efforts are overt, using government offices and spokesmen to criticize American leaders, U.S.-based events, and U.S. engagement abroad, as well as covert where they seek to hide their involvement in the campaign. Information aggression is increasing in frequency and intensity. Through various proxies, the Russian government carried out a multi-pronged attack against the United States that aimed to amplify pre-existing divisions in American society, sow distrust in the democratic process, and incite conflict. The threat landscape of the upcoming election differs from 2016 and 2018; threat actors and activity groups who previously targeted elections have largely remained on the sidelines. Finally, a third model of conducting influence operations is to use Russia’s state-owned enterprises – Rosneft, Gazprom, Rosatom, Rostech, etc. November 9, 2021. Chinese and Russian influence doesn't come through just information operations. ‘Influence operation’ has become an easy catch-all term denoting a variety of hostile though usually non-military acts. Continuing influence. The Roy­al Unit­ed Ser­vices Insti­tute (RUSI), a UK think tank, pub­lished a study last year exam­in­ing China’s and Russia’s influ­ence oper­a­tions in Aus­tria. OPCW, WikiLeaks, and Russian Influence Operations. Three main additional events triggered pro-Russian influence operations after 2019. Although the overall impact of Russian disinformation operations in the 2016 election has not been conclusively determined, many have suggested that such operations swung thousands of votes in key swing states, possibly affecting the final election outcome.l Further, the threat presented by the Analysis of the operation underscores that there are many remaining unknowns about Russia's military capabilities, especially in the aftermath of its military reforms and modernization program. To develop best approaches to these troubling trends, the United States must first understand the challenges posed by China and September 8 th, 2021 15:58. Dr. Vartanova also argued that Russia aims to use its influence to upset the current multi-polar world order in which the US is currently leading. It follows with sections on Russia’s use of force and military power; influence and cyber operations; and foreign economic policies. According to the Estonian Internal Security Service, Russian influence operations in Estonia form a complex system of financial, political, economic and espionage activities in Republic of Estonia for the purposes of influencing Estonia's political and economic decisions in ways considered favourable to Russian Federation and conducted under the doctrine of near abroad. Intelligence experts are monitoring the "competition between democratic systems and … Both Russia and China view influence operations as a key tool to project their power and influence abroad. The conceptual confusion is regrettable but also unsurprising. In 1710 the Russian Tsar, Peter I conquered the North-East part of current Latvia – Vidzeme, which together with Riga provided an exit to the Baltic Sea and its important trading lines. The Ukraine Crisis Media Center’s Hybrid Warfare Analytical Group (HWAG) has compiled a report on major operations of Russian information influence in Ukraine in the first half of 2021.. But for influence operations that are more directly focused on a particular policy outcome, only those related to that issue will be effective. The Russian leadership’s best bet against the collective West is currently in these operations. Titled “Overview of the major Russian information influence operations in Ukraine for the first half of 2021,” it breaks down the information operations, identifies key local actors … Kremlin Watch. Finding UK-related Tweets is not an easy task. Russian Influence Operations Target Americans Cliff Kincaid A major case of what intelligence experts call "influence operations" emanating from Moscow is this week's "Rhodes Forum," which is sponsored by Vladimir Putin's close associate and former KGB official Vladimir Yakunin. The Free Rus­sia Foun­da­tion, a US think tank, report­ed last month about Russia’s influ­ence oper­a­tions in Lithua­nia. The effort to better understand Russia’s covert influence operations is being coordinated by James R. Clapper Jr., the director of national intelligence. Russia has used these same tactics in recent years against other democracies, particularly in The Russian influence campaign that occurred during the 2016 US Presidential election is a key example of this emerging practice of what this report refers to as soft cyber influence operations. These operations have continued through 2020 . Convicted Russian Influence Agent With Ties To US Republicans Becomes Russian MP January 9 th , 2022 15:13 US media report­ed in Novem­ber that a con­vict­ed Russ­ian influ­ence agent with strong ties to the Repub­li­can Par­ty and Don­ald Trump had become a mem­ber of the Russ­ian par­lia­ment. About. Russia has long been an innovator in the use of information and misinformation by its military. Convicted Russian Influence Agent With Ties To US Republicans Becomes Russian MP January 9 th , 2022 15:13 US media report­ed in Novem­ber that a con­vict­ed Russ­ian influ­ence agent with strong ties to the Repub­li­can Par­ty and Don­ald Trump had become a mem­ber of the Russ­ian par­lia­ment. Finally, a third model of conducting influence operations is to use Russia’s state-owned enterprises – Rosneft, Gazprom, Rosatom, Rostech, etc. The 2016 presidential election is a case in point. A new Russia scandal has … The 2007 DDoS attack on Estonia brought attention to large-scale attacks but network probing and small-scale hacks sometimes go unnoticed. Russian Influence In Lithuania. Russian influence operations in Canada are clandestine operations conducted by Russian government and government-affiliated entities against Canada. Summary This short paper lays out an attempt to measure how much activity from Russian state-operated accounts released in the dataset made available by Twitter in October 2018 was targeted at the United Kingdom. Combined with hack-and-leak operations targeting a senior Clinton aide and the Democratic National Committee, as well as efforts to break into multiple states’ voting systems, the Russian influence operation represented an unprecedented level of direct interference in U.S. politics by a foreign power. The second major event was the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war between Azerbaijan and Armenia, in which Turkey and Russia served as major external stakeholders. Ben Dubow is CTO and founder of Omelas, a firm that provides data and analysis on how nations manipulate the web to achieve their geopolitical goals. Immediate steps need to be taken to halt malign Russian influence. 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